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Sunday, January 11, 2026

🏈 What are the odds of a California vs California Super 🏟️ Bowl ( in California) this year ?

"Many are the plans in a person's heart, but it is the Lord's purpose that prevails" — Proverbs 19:21


AI GENERATED 
Here's how things look for the odds of a California vs. California Super Bowl in 2026 — meaning a showdown between the 49ers, Rams, and/or Chargers at Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara, California: 

1) Three California teams still in the mix
• San Francisco 49ers — currently in the NFC playoffs. 
• Los Angeles Rams — have some of the better Super Bowl odds among all teams. 
• Los Angeles Chargers — lower odds but still alive in the AFC postseason picture. 

2) Super Bowl favorite odds (leaguewide)
Current leaguewide odds do not put any California team as the overall favorite, but the Rams and Chargers do have better odds than the 49ers right now according to betting markets, while Seattle and Denver are tops overall. 

3) What that means for a California vs. California Bowl
A matchup between any two of those California teams requires two things:

Each team must win its conference championship game, and

They cannot meet before Super Bowl — meaning one must come out of the NFC and one out of the AFC.


As of now:
• 49ers and Rams are both in the NFC, so they would have to play each other in the NFC title game for one to reach the Super Bowl rather than both. 
• That makes a 49ers vs. Rams Super Bowl impossible this year under the current structure.

The only possible California Super Bowl matchup would be:
49ers (or Rams) vs. Chargers — i.e., one NFC team vs. the Chargers out of the AFC.
Right now, the Chargers' Super Bowl odds are roughly 30‑1 (about a 3% chance to win it all), while the Rams' are much better (around +425, roughly a 19% chance) and the 49ers sit around 30‑1 as well. 

4) Rough picture of chances
There's zero chance of a 49ers vs. Rams Super Bowl.
A California vs. California Super Bowl (like Rams vs. Chargers, 49ers vs. Chargers, or Rams vs. 49ers if one crossed conferences) is theoretically possible, but based on current odds it's quite unlikely — probably well under 10–15% combined probability, because:

Chargers must upset tough AFC foes, and

At least one of the NFC California teams must get through the NFC bracket.


Bottom line:
A California‑only Super Bowl is possible, but not the most likely outcome. Odds favor non‑California teams winning their conferences, and the standings don't even allow a 49ers‑Rams title game.